— THE LEAD: Dems, GOP hoping record voter registration boosts turnout, by the Houston Chronicle’s Mike Ward and the SA Express-News’ Peggy Fikac
“Republicans are hoping conservatives flood the polls to vote against Hillary Clinton. Democrats hope that women and minority voters show up in droves to sink Donald Trump. But political experts and history say predictions of a deluge of voters at the polls tend to be off the mark. Texas owns one of the lowest voter-turnout rates in the country. About four out of every 10 voters usually stay home.
“Both sides concede that the upcoming election could be unpredictable, since the major-party presidential candidates have the lowest favorable ratings in recent history. Republican insiders quietly are predicting they could get slammed in some parts of Texas because too many GOP voters disgusted with Trump will stay home or cross over and vote for Clinton. That may not be confined to the presidential race, but also local elections, where GOP incumbents fear a rerun of 2008, when Republicans lost in significant numbers.” MORE
>> A history lesson amid Texas Dems’ hopes of a blue November, by the Texas Tribune’s Ross Ramsey
— ICYMI: Trump allegations spark evangelical dilemma: “For Trump, the stakes in this clash of Christian ethics are enormous. Evangelicals — one of the largest single blocs in the GOP coalition — normally break heavily for the Republicans in national elections. An online poll released Tuesday put Trump’s support among evangelicals at 55 percent. Although only about 2 percent would vote for Hillary Clinton, the rest said they may sit out the election or write in other candidates,” writes the Chron’s Kevin Diaz.
— Curtain raiser for Wednesday debate, the third and final … “In reality, voter fraud is rare and extremely difficult, if not impossible, to orchestrate on a broad enough spectrum to sway a national election – even as efforts to boost turnout have indeed increased opportunities for fraud at a local level. … In addition to high-tech gadgets, local precinct judges and volunteers who oversee the voting areas would have to be involved, as would lawyers, political operators and party-poll watchers across the country.
“Election processes differ by state. Some have centralized systems, which are more vulnerable to hacking. Though some 20 states have reported attempted hacks of their voter registration files, officials at the Texas Attorney General’s Office and with state police who have investigated such allegations in the past said Sunday there has been no indication of such a compromise here,” writes the Chronicle’s Lomi Kriel, Mike Ward and Andrea Rumbaugh.
— Pelosi and Ryan are shadow figures in District 23 race, per SAEN’s Gilbert Garcia
“The shot at Ryan was a rare detour from Gallego’s relentless push to remind Latino voters in District 23 — which runs from South San Antonio to El Paso — that Hurd belongs to the same party as the man who branded undocumented immigrants as rapists and criminals: GOP presidential nominee Donald Trump.
“Ryan, a policy wonk known to his colleagues as The Budgeteer, doesn’t go for Trumpian incendiary rhetoric, but, in his own way, he has become nearly as polarizing as Pelosi. The difference is that Pelosi is at least popular within her own party, while Ryan finds himself at odds with his own party’s presidential nominee.”
— Don’t miss this: “What is clear one year later, however, is that roughly 12,000 low-income women in Texas are still obtaining services from Planned Parenthood through the Medicaid program, which is mostly federally funded. And state leaders who spearheaded the charge to cut off funding have little to say about their failure to do so. A spokeswoman for the governor said Abbott was ‘disappointed and troubled by the lack of progress’ in defunding the women’s health organization but that he still expects the issue to ‘move forward,’” writes the Trib’s Edgar Walters and Alexa Ura.
— “Texas money has played an important part in Donald Trump’s campaign for president. Texans provided nearly 35 percent of the contributions to Trump Victory in the second quarter of the year when the general election fundraising operation was just getting underway. For the third quarter, Texas accounted for just under 14 percent of all its contributions. Texas donors also gave $7 million directly to Republican nominee through the end of August — more than any state, although less than half of what Democratic rival Hillary Clinton’s campaign raised in the Lone Star State,” per the Statesman’s Jonathan Tilove and Sean Collins Walsh
>> Dozen people charged in $100M health care scheme in Texas, AP
9 a.m. – Public Education [E2.036 ]
Adults who skip vaccines cost $8.9B, Houston Chronicle
How to tell if a company does more good than bad, Houston Chronicle
Fikac: Cruz timing might have been impeccable, San Antonio Express-News
In District 134, incumbent Davis touts clout while challenger Rose sells change, Houston Chronicle
Mayor Taylor faces social media backlash over SAPD Trump hat statement, Express-News
A hush-hush half-billion-dollar divorce goes public, Houston Chronicle
Black doctor accusing airline of racial bias speaks out after viral post, Houston Chronicle
Green Party leader calls Trump “sexual predator” at Houston stop, Houston Chronicle
Where rhetoric meets reality: Texans have lived with a border wall for years, San Antonio Express-News
In election season in Rio Grande Valley, watchful eyes at the polls, Austin American Statesman
Hays County Prop 1 has $106.4 million for EMS, law enforcement, Austin American Statesman
State investigating allegations of voter fraud in Tarrant County, Fort Worth Star-Telegram
Lab tech’s integrity imperils DWI cases, AP
RACE TO THE WHITE HOUSE
— Fears mount on Trump’s ‘rigged election’ rhetoric: “Donald Trump is laying the groundwork to lose on Nov. 8, refuse to concede the election, and teeter the country into an unprecedented crisis of faith in government. Republicans and Democrats, in Washington and beyond, fear that the aftermath of the 2016 election will create a festering infection in the already deep and lasting wound that the campaign is leaving on America. And, they say, only Republican leaders who speak up will have any chance of stopping it.” ( POLITICO )
— “ Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is leading her Republican rival Donald Trump by eight points among likely voters, according to the most recent CNN Poll of Polls, released Monday. The poll average shows Clinton has 47% of support from likely voters, Trump at 39% support, Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson with 7% and Green Party nominee Jill Stein getting 2%. The Poll of Polls averages result from the four most recent publicly-released national polls that meets CNN’s standards for publication. All of the polls included the four-way match-ups with the third party candidates. The poll of polls does not have a margin of sampling error.” ( CNN )
— Criticism of news media takes on a more sinister tone, NYT’s Jim Rutenberg
>> Something to watch: “As Democrats aim to capitalize on this year’s Republican turmoil and start building back their own decimated bench, former Attorney General Eric Holder will chair a new umbrella group focused on redistricting reform—with the aim of taking on the gerrymandering that’s left the party behind in statehouses and made winning a House majority far more difficult.” ( POLITICO )
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