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NFL playoffs divisional round — How to know what to avoid

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Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down this weekend’s NFL divisional-round games with his thoughts on what to take and what to avoid with help from a friend who tends to jinx bets.
«Look, it’s a lock. It’s beautiful. Don’t even worry about it.» —Santino «Sonny» LoSpecchio If you’ve seen the 1993s gangster flick «A Bronx Tale,» you know precisely what happens next. For those who haven’t (guess what? You now have a homework assignment), allow me to paint the picture: New York mobster Sonny LoSpecchio — played by the well-dressed Chazz Palminteri — and his crew are at Aqueduct Racetrack betting the ponies and cheering on Kryptonite, the 1-horse who is out to a brilliant lead. LoSpecchio is celebrating the impending financial windfall Kryptonite’s win is set to deliver midway through the race before he hears a voice from the steps above screaming, «C’mon, Kryptonite!» That voice belongs to none other than Eddie Mush, a degenerate gambler from the neighborhood known for one thing and one thing only: His uncanny ability to lose any bet he places. The moment LoSpecchio realizes Mush bet Kryptonite as well, he disgustingly states, «He bet Kryptonite? Give me the tickets,» before tearing up the crew’s betting slips three-quarters of the way through the race. To which a young Calogero (aka «C») responds, «But, Sonny, we’re winning!» LoSpecchio responds, «We can’t win. Mush bet Kryptonite. C’mon. We’ve been Mushed.» Sonny and his crew depart Aqueduct as Kryptonite gets caught from behind and eventually passed at the wire. «Great call on Penn State. That was a smash.» Oct.20,2007. Seven-point favorite Penn State was leading Indiana 36-24 with under three minutes to play. Thirty seconds before Indiana quarterback Kellen Lewis ripped off a 56-yard touchdown run on third-and-10 to bring the final score to Penn State 36, Indiana 31. The Nittany Lions won, and the Hoosiers covered. I can still remember this exact moment like it was yesterday. A group of friends and I were at a buddy’s house sweating Penn State -7 tickets on a dreary October Saturday in eastern Pennsylvania. The Nittany Lions took a 20-14 lead to the half and entered the fourth quarter up 23-17 before finally grabbing a 12-point lead with four minutes to play. We were all on Penn State, and we were starting to feel good. But nobody dared mention the possibility of a cover because that’s just something you don’t do… under any circumstance… ever.

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