The statistician and founder of election analysis site FiveThirtyEight and Silver Bulletin made the prediction on his podcast, Risky Business.
Nate Silver, the statistician and founder of election analysis site FiveThirtyEight, has predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will continue to rise in the polls after the Democratic National Convention.
In an episode of the podcast Risky Business, which Silver hosts alongside writer Maria Konnikova, titled “Kamala Edition: Taxes, Tariffs and the DNC” Silver said, “Our model is expecting that she will continue to rise in the polls after the DNC. That’s what we call a convention bump or a convention bounce.”
“The day after the convention, you’ve had four days of free television advertising in every network, you tend to see polls rise.”
Silver said that “We would expect her to get about maybe four or five point lead in national polls, and be ahead in the large majority of swing state polls.
