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Did the Democrat convention boost Kamala Harris’ poll numbers? Yes, and also no. Or no, and also yes, depending on what one watches.
It’s been a while since we took a look at polling in the race, and honestly, perhaps it’s still too soon to look at the numbers for any conclusions or predictions about where the race is heading. The replacement of Joe Biden with Kamala Harris five weeks ago turned this into a new contest, and until Harris sets out her agenda for a new term as president, most of the numbers are just, well . vibes.
Of course, that’s why Democrats keep hiding Kamala from reporters. Vibes may be all they have for victory after four years of Bidenomics and foreign-policy disasters.
Still, we can take a look to see what the numbers we do have show us. Let’s start with the latest from YouGov, which shows Harris barely ahead of Donald Trump, almost no change at all from before the convention — at least in the topline number. Harris may not have gotten any bounce in this series on the head-to-head, but there does seem to be an enthusiasm bounce for Democrats — and mainly among Democrats:
In the wake of last week’s Democratic National Convention, Americans now think Vice President Kamala Harris has a better chance of winning the November election (39%) than former President Donald Trump (36%), according to a new Yahoo News/YouGov poll.
That’s a dizzying turnaround from last month, when President Biden (20%) was trailing Trump (53%) by 33 percentage points on the same question, and it reflects an enormous surge in Harris’s favorability rating and overall Democratic optimism since she replaced Biden as the party’s presumptive nominee in late July.
Yet in a sign of how polarized the U.S. remains, and how fixed Americans’ political allegiances have become, Harris (47%) leads Trump (46%) by only one point in a head-to-head matchup among registered voters — a margin that does not change (Harris 46% vs.
