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Donald Trump's Chances of Beating Kamala Harris in Wisconsin: Recent Polls

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As Trump prepares to visit Wisconsin, FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker shows Harris is 3 points ahead in the battleground state.
Vice President Kamala Harris is beating former President Donald Trump in Wisconsin, according to the poll tracker FiveThirtyEight.
As the Republican presidential candidate prepares to visit Wisconsin on Saturday, FiveThirtyEight’s polling average showed that his Democratic opponent was 2.9 points ahead in the battleground state, receiving 47.5 percent of the vote to Trump’s 44.6 percent—Harris’ biggest lead in any of the swing states.
Since Harris replaced President Joe Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket, after he ended his reelection campaign on July 21, polls have shown her leading Trump by as much as 9 points in Wisconsin.
When Biden was the presumptive Democratic nominee, polls showed Trump leading him by up to 6 points in the state. The RealClearPolitics poll tracker showed that on the day Biden dropped out of the race, Trump was 3.3 points ahead in Wisconsin.
However, Harris’ lead in the Badger State may be unraveling. Some recent polls have shown the candidates tied in Wisconsin, while others show Trump leading.
A poll conducted by Patriot Polling between September 1 and 3 showed that Harris and Trump were tied in Wisconsin, with 48 percent each. A poll conducted by Z to A research between August 23 and 26 also showed the candidates tied among likely voters in the state.
Polls conducted by the Trafalgar Group and Emerson College between August 25 and 30 showed Trump 1 point ahead.

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