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Kamala Harris' Chances of Beating Donald Trump in Arizona: Polls

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Trump holds a slight lead in the Grand Canyon State with roughly six weeks until Election Day.
As the race to November 5 heats up, former President Donald Trump is holding on to a slight lead in Arizona, one of seven critical states that could tip the results of the 2024 election.
Recent polling shows that Trump may be building on his lead above Vice President Kamala Harris in the Grand Canyon State, where the former president lost to President Joe Biden in 2020 by just under 11,000 votes. In a survey released by The New York Times/Siena College poll on Monday, Trump is up in Arizona by 5 percentage points, leading Harris 50 percent to 45 percent. Roughly a month earlier, Harris was ahead in the same poll, leading 49 percent to 45 percent.
All hope is not lost for Harris securing Arizona’s 11 electoral college votes, however, as other polls have found the state’s race to be much closer. In a poll by Emerson College/The Hill conducted between September 15 and 18, Trump was leading by just 1 percentage point (50 percent to 49 percent) based on the response of 868 likely voters.

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