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Trump Within Striking Distance of Kamala Harris in Tim Walz's Home State

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Recent polls show that Trump may build on his 2020 showing in Minnesota despite its governor being VP Harris’ running mate.
Recent polls of Minnesota voters point to a close presidential race in the North Star State, as former President Donald Trump could improve on his 2020 showing.
Republicans are hoping to flip Minnesota red for the first time in decades in November amid a close presidential race between Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris.
Polling for Democrats, which collapsed at the presidential level after President Joe Biden’s poor debate performance against Trump in June, mostly recovered after Harris became the nominee. But the race remains close, and the election is viewed as a toss-up by most election forecasters.
In Minnesota, polls suggest Trump may be in a stronger position than he was four years ago, despite Harris picking the state’s governor, Tim Walz, as her running mate. Recent polls suggest the race could be decided by only a few points, and polling averages suggest the race could be tighter than it was four years ago.
FiveThirtyEight’s polling aggregate on Tuesday gave Harris a 6-point lead over Trump, while Real Clear Politics showed Harris up 5.3 points.
Meanwhile, a recent poll of the race conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy and sponsored by the Star Tribune, Minnesota Public Radio News and Minneapolis news station KARE showed Harris up five points over Trump (48 percent to 43 percent). It surveyed 800 likely voters from September 16 to 18.
While this would still point to a narrow victory for the Harris-Walz ticket, it would show Trump winning over some voters who backed Biden four years earlier.

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