One of America’s most trusted pollsters has released a poll where Kamala Harris leads by three points in deep-red Iowa.
Just days before the election, a new poll by one of America’s most trusted pollsters has Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris leading her Republican rival Donald Trump by three points in deep-red Iowa.
The new poll, conducted by Selzer & Co. for the Des Moines Register and Mediacom was released on Saturday, prompting polling analyst Nate Silver to write a swift analysis, calling the poll “shocking” and saying releasing it “took guts” to release it.
“[Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co.] has a long history of bucking the conventional wisdom and being right”, Silver wrote, on his blog Silver Bulletin. “In a world where most pollsters have a lot of egg on their faces, she has near-oracular status.”
This poll surveyed 808 likely Iowa voters between October 28 to 31 and had a 3.4-point margin of error. Of the respondents, 47 percent supported Vice President Harris and 44 percent supported former president Trump.
Newsweek has contacted the campaigns of Harris and Trump via email for comment.
For Harris, the poll reflects strong momentum among women and older voters in Iowa. The Des-Moines Register reported Harris had a 20-point lead among women (56 percent to 36 percent) and a striking 63 to 28 lead among women over 65.
