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Nintendo low-balls its Switch 2 sales estimates, but they’re still huge

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Nintendo has predicted it will sell 15 million Switch 2s in 10 months, which analysts say is low, probably due to tariff uncertainty
Nintendo is predicting that it will sell 15 million Switch 2 consoles in its current financial year — a figure that most analysts agree is too low, but that would still put it among the fastest-selling game consoles of all time.
Nintendo made the forecast in a report to investors covering its previous financial year, ending in March 2025. It also predicted sales of 45 million Switch 2 games, and 4.5 million original Switches — which would bring the older console within spitting distance of the all-time record held by PlayStation 2.
Analysts, including Niko Partners’ Daniel Ahmad, said Nintendo’s forecast was “conservative,” likely due to uncertainty around U.

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