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Two days left in this election, and the suspense is getting more intense. Especially after the release of Ann Selzer’s latest Des Moines Register poll of Iowa, which showed Kamala ahead in the state by three points. Selzer’s polls have a pretty solid track record, and if Kamala is leading in Iowa, even within the margin of error, the state must be in play, and if the state is in play, it stands to reason that Kamala will be performing better in the midwest battleground states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Right?
Right?
Well, in theory, yes, though many are pointing out the poll seems a bit fishy.
But, let’s forget about that for a second.
If the Harris-Walz campaign believed that Kamala is competitive in Iowa, we’d see signs. There would be a last-minute rally planned for the state.
While one might think such a thing would be impossible to pull off so quickly, it’s been done before. In 2004, two surprise polls suggested that George W. Bush was narrowly ahead there, prompting the Bush-Cheney campaign to send Vice President Dick Cheney to the Aloha State the Sunday before Election Day.
It was certainly a long shot; after all, the last time a Republican had carried the state was with Ronald Reagan in 1984.
