While polls suggest the race could go either way, some experts are more certain about who will win the White House.
With less than a week to go until election day and early voting well underway, most polls suggest the 2024 presidential race is about as close as it gets.
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are currently separated by razor-thin margins in the vital swing states. National polls indicate that the race is very much a toss-up.
But some experts are more certain of the outcome than others. Here are five prominent election forecasters with their takes on who will win the 2024 presidential election.Allan Lichtman
Historian Allan Lichtman uses a system of 13 true/false statements to determine who he believes will win the presidency.
Known as “The Keys to the White House”, this model evaluates the standing of the incumbent party based on a variety of factors, including the economy, domestic politics, and foreign policy.
If six or more are false, the incumbent party is predicted to lose the election. Should five or fewer be false, it is expected to win.
In September, Lichtman formally predicted that Harris would win the 2024 election.
Speaking to Newsweek, the American University professor said that foreign policy was the most difficult area to evaluate, due to the ongoing wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.
“You’re dealing with two wars—two uncertain wars that are very fluid—which makes those two keys extremely difficult to call”, he said.
