How likely is your favorite team to win its game this week? Let the computers tell you — you might be surprised.
The NFL season is back and the computers are picking their winners for every game.
Below we take a look at two popular systems used to pick NFL games — Cortana, Microsoft’s digital assistant, and Elo, the modeling system used by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com .
In both cases, the computers are picking outright winners and are not picking against the spread. However, both give a likelihood of teams winning which, in theory, could help measure the strength of certain lines.
It was a rough Week 1 for Cortana, going just 8-7 thanks to road teams going 8-7. Elo was 10-5, correctly picking the two games the two computers disagreed on, the Raiders over the Titans and the Panthers over the 49ers.
Here are the picks for Week 2, with each model’s percent chance of winning in parentheses. Games in bold are where the two models disagree on who has the best chance to win. Point spreads are just for reference, via Vegas Insider as of Thursday morning.
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