Start GRASP/China World Bank raises East Asia growth forecasts, sees geopolitical risks

World Bank raises East Asia growth forecasts, sees geopolitical risks

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China’s projection revised up to 6.7 per cent in 2017 and 6.4 per cent in 2018
The World Bank raised its economic growth forecasts for developing East Asia and the Pacific for this year and 2018, but added the generally positive outlook was clouded by risks such as rising trade protectionism and geopolitical tensions.
The Washington-based lender now expects the developing East Asia and Pacific region, which includes China, to grow 6.4 per cent in 2017 and 6.2 per cent in 2018.
Its previous forecast in April was for 6.2 per cent growth in 2017 and 6.1 per cent growth in 2018.
Excluding developed economies such as Japan and South Korea, the higher rate is led by China, whose growth projection was revised up 0.2 point to 6.7 per cent, the bank said in its latest East Asia and Pacific Economic Update.
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“The economic outlook for the region remains positive and will benefit from an improved external environment as well as strong domestic demand,” the World Bank said in the report released on Wednesday.
The outlook, however, faces risks from rising trade protectionism and economic nationalism, which could dampen global trade, as well as the possible escalation of geopolitical tensions in the region, the bank said.
Increasingly hostile statements by US President Donald Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong-un in recent weeks have raised fears of a miscalculation that could lead to war, particularly since Pyongyang conducted its sixth and most powerful nuclear test on September 3.

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