The aggregate polls reveal a close presidential election where Trump and Harris are inching up or down within the margin of error.
As of Saturday, Vice President Kamala Harris is leading former President Donald Trump in six national aggregate polls for the extremely tight 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Harris joined the campaign trail after President Joe Biden’s unprecedented exit from the race on July 21 and has since garnered widespread support from the Democratic party. As of Saturday, six national aggregate polls place her in the lead in presidential polls, with margins ranging from .5 to 2.5 percentage points.
Aggregate polls are consistently updated as new polling data is added, shifting the averages in real time.
The following percentages are as of Saturday afternoon.
RealClearPolitics shows Harris ahead by the smallest margin of the six polls, placing her .5 percentage points ahead of Trump—47.6 percent to 47.1 percent.
With a margin of 1 percentage point, The New York Times aggregate poll shows Harris at 48 percent and Trump at 47 percent. When independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is factored in, the gap between the Democratic and Republican candidates widens to 2 percentage points, with Harris at 45 percent, Trump at 43 percent, and Kennedy at 5 percent.
