As Harris prepares to visit Georgia on Friday, FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker shows that Trump is one point ahead of her.
Donald Trump is beating Kamala Harris in Georgia, according to polling—however, Harris could still secure an election victory in the battleground state.
As the Democratic nominee prepared to visit Georgia on Friday, FiveThirtyEight’s poll tracker showed that Trump is just one point ahead of her, on 48 percent to the Vice President’s 47 percent. Pollster Nate Silver’s average also showed Trump with a 1 point lead.
Meanwhile, RealClearPolitics‘ polling tracker showed that on average, Trump is ahead by 1.7 points in the state.
Yet despite the former president’s lead, FiveThirtyEight’s election forecast currently shows that Harris is projected to win in the state in November by a margin of 0.1 points.
The forecast showed Harris has a 51 percent chance of winning in the state, while Trump has a 49 percent chance. However, Nate Silver’s forecast shows Trump has a higher chance than Harris of winning in the state.
Newsweek contacted both Trump and Harris‘ campaign teams for comment.
Before Harris became the Democratic Party’s nominee for President, Trump had a comfortable lead over Biden in the state, which had voted for a Republican President every year since 1996 until 2020, when Biden won by a narrow margin.
However, since Biden ended his reelection campaign, making Harris the candidate, Trump has seen his margins dramatically decrease in Georgia, with polls now incredibly close in the Peach State.
Recent polls have shown Harris and Trump leading each other by between 1 and 3 points or tied. For example, an Emerson College poll conducted between September 15 and 18 among 975 likely voters showed Trump 2 points ahead. The previous Emerson College poll, conducted between August 25 and 28, had shown Harris 1 point ahead.
Meanwhile, an ActiVote poll of 400 likely voters in the state between August 8 and September 10 showed the two candidates tied.
