Here’s what several forecasts show just three days ahead of Election Day.
With only three days until Election Day, the presidential race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remains extraordinarily tight and widely considered a toss-up. However, as of Saturday, more forecasts give Trump a slight edge to take the White House.
The race essentially comes down to the seven battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina. Together, these states hold 93 Electoral College votes, with Pennsylvania holding the most at 19. They could tip the election to either candidate in the race to secure the 270 Electoral College votes needed to win.
Overall, several forecasts have shifted to indicate an even tighter race. Here’s what several forecasts, which like aggregate polls, are updated frequently with new information, show as of Saturday afternoon.
Newsweek has reached out to Harris‘ and Trump’s campaign for comment via email on Saturday.538 Forecast: Trump
538’s Saturday forecast model, based on 1,000 simulations, shows a much tighter margin between Harris and Trump than earlier this week.
The latest stimulation predicts Trump will win the election 50 out of 100 times, with Harris winning 49 times.
The model continues to tighten the race. Last Saturday, it showed a 10-point difference between the candidates, with Trump 55 percent likely to win the election and Harris at 45 percent.
