Here are our predictions for 2017:
With luck we will see less emphasis on brands and labels (Scrum vs Kanban, SAFe, LeSS, DAD…), replacing this with a pragmatic meshing of context-dependant good ideas. Mature organizations who have been through one or two rounds of methodology adoption will lead the charge away from « one size fits all » to pragmatism and realism.
Unfortunately this will go hand-in-hand with brand wars and commercialization – there is simply too much money to be made implementing branded, recipe book approaches to organizational « transformation » and the recipe vendors are not interested in meshing their « best practices » with anyone else’s « best practices ».
Certification will continue to be a big selling point, with a wider range of certifications covering more roles and activities falling under the certification banners. Unfortunately most of the certifications will remain simple knowledge-based or attendance based assessments – there will be very few » skills based and hard to achieve » certifications but these may grow.
Some leading edge organizations will decide to go for radically changing their structure and the way work is managed. They want to truly increase self-organization and autonomy by adopting for example Holacracy, principles from Sociocracy or Sociocracy 3.0 (S3), self-selection of teams, ideas from anti-fragility, or intent-based leadership. They explore ways to become a teal organization, driven by purpose and results.