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Biden heads into the conventions in a historically strong position

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First things first: The theme song of the week is The Nanny.
First things first: The theme song of the week is The Nanny. Poll of the week: A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden at 53% to President Donald Trump’s 42% nationally among registered voters. Biden’s advantage is similar in other polls out this past week: Fox News poll (Biden by 7 points) and Monmouth University (Biden by 10 points). The average of all polls puts Biden above 50% and ahead by 8 to 10 points, depending on how you exactly average. What’s the point: Biden’s lead has been about as stable as they come. Since the beginning of June, he’s been up by around 8 to 10 points. We’ll see whether the convention period, that begins tomorrow, alters the race. For now though, we can say Biden’s doing better than any challenger heading into the major party conventions since scientific polling began. Read More In the 13 previous elections in which an incumbent was running for another term, no challenger has ever been at or above 50% in the polls at this point in the campaign. The closest were Jimmy Carter in 1976 and Thomas Dewey in 1948. Carter was at about 49%, while Dewey came in at between 48% and 49%. Most challengers were not even near that mark.

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