The President has hit rock bottom.
CNN’s Harry Enten reports that “New polls suggest Trump’s position has stabilized.” But that’s what happens when a falling object hits the ground. There’s little doubt that former Vice President Joe Biden has the upperhand against President Donald Trump at this point. Biden has led in poll after poll nationally and in almost every poll in the core six battleground states (Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin). Yet, while Biden has maintained advantage, Trump has one thing going for him: His position is no longer deteriorating. A look at the polls shows that even as coronavirus cases and deaths rise, Trump remains within striking distancing of Biden. Here, Enten is doing what he’s repeatedly cautioned his readers not to do: overreact to the weirdness of 2016. There’s simply no evidence that Trump is “within striking distance” of Biden. Essentially, Biden widened his advantage from May to June following the beginning of the protests after George Floyd’s killing in late May, and it’s not gotten worse for Trump since. The national polling paints a similar picture. Biden’s margin widened at the end of May and beginning of June. Since then, Trump has held his ground. That the challenger started with a lead and widened it considerably is surely more newsworthy than the lack of momentum change since? Overall, pretty much every method agrees that Trump has, if nothing else, stopped the bleeding. The fact that Trump’s standing hasn’t gotten any worse may come as a bit of a surprise given the rise of coronavirus cases and deaths nationally.
