A new survey of 10 swing states suggests former President Donald Trump will be competitive on Election Day, but he may be little help to Republicans downballot in some of the most fiercely contested states.
A new survey of 10 swing states (a few of which are debatable in that designation) suggests former President Donald Trump will be competitive on Election Day, but he may be little help to Republicans downballot in some of the most fiercely contested states.
That’s the upshot of a Redfield and Wilton survey of “voter intention” in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
First, the good news for Republicans: Trump is ahead (albeit narrowly) in five of these states, with Vice President Kamala Harris leading in four and Georgia a tie.
Trump leads by 1 point in Arizona, 44% to 43%, with Robert Kennedy Jr. taking 5%, other candidates garnering 2% and 6% undecided. This is well inside the +/- 3.71% margin of error.
In the Sunshine State, considered here even though the GOP has a million more active registered voters than the Democrats do, Trump leads by 5 points, 48% to 43% for Harris. Kennedy has 3% support, while another 3% don’t know whom they’ll back, and 1% want another candidate. The margin of error here is +/- 2.51%.
In Michigan, where Democrats control the vast majority of statewide offices, Trump leads in this snapshot of the race, 45% to 44%, well inside the +/- 3.
