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We’ve been saying for some time now that Kamala Harris’s honeymoon period in the polls would end, and for a while now, we’ve seen her lead shrink in the polling averages and some poor polling for Kamala in battleground states. But a new poll from the New York Times/Siena College shows Trump ahead nationally again. And you can bet the left is flipping out about it.
???????? National poll by NYT/Siena crosstabs
???? Trump: 48%
???? Harris: 47%
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Full Ballot
???? Trump: 47%
???? Harris: 45%
???? Oliver: 2%
???? Stein: 1%
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Crosstabs
• Biden 2020 voters: Harris 92-6%
• Trump 2020 voters: Trump 97-2%
• Did not vote in 2020: Trump 49-40%
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• Men:… pic.twitter.com/jtPBwxRIBq— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) September 8, 2024
« To me, the result is a bit surprising », writes Nate Cohn of the New York Times, before trying his best to quell panic from the left. « It’s the first lead for Mr. Trump in a major nonpartisan national survey in about a month. As a result, it’s worth being at least a little cautious about these findings, as there isn’t much confirmation from other polls. »
Cohn then acknowledges what many of us hawkishly monitoring polls have noticed: there has been a dramatic decline in new polling recently.
