Donald Trump has a marginal lead in several swing states.
With just a few days to go until the U.S. Election on November 5, Newsweek has broken down what the polls are saying in each swing state.
This year’s race is extremely tight, with victory in sight for either the Republican nominee Donald Trump or the Democratic nominee Kamala Harris.
The seven swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are likely to be the ones to decide which one wins a term in the White House and the founder of FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver, has forecast that Trump could win every one of them. Here is what the polls say.Arizona Polls
As of Sunday, polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight has Trump ahead, with 48.7 percent, over Harris’ 46.8 percent, with the latest three polls putting Trump in the lead as well.
Similarly, the Trafalgar Group, a political consulting firm, found Trump had 48 percent support and Harris had 46 percent out of the 1,094 respondents who were questioned between October 24 and 26. The survey has a margin of error of 2.9 percent.
Trump enjoyed the exact same 2-point lead (48 percent – 46 percent) in a poll conducted by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, in partnership with The Telegraph.
The UK-based market and research company polled 7,362 swing state voters across all seven swing states between October 20 and 22. Redfield and Wilton Strategies does not disclaim its margin of error but it says: « In every state polled the candidates are either tied or the lead for either Trump or Harris is within the margin of error. »
Marist College, which conducted its latest survey a little earlier this month, between October 17 and 22, also has Trump in the lead, but with a 1-point margin (50 percent to 49 percent). Some 1,193 people were questioned and the margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.Georgia Polls
FiveThirtyEight averages Trump’s lead in Georgia at 48.6 percent as of Monday, and while the latest two polls also gave Trump the lead, a third tied him and Harris.
Out of the 1,087 people questioned by the Trafalgar Group, between October 24 and October 26, 48 percent said they would vote for Trump and 46 percent said they would vote for Harris. The margin of error is 2.9 percent.
In a swing states poll carried out by Redfield and Wilton Strategies, in which 1,168 people were questioned, Trump had 48 percent over Harris’ 46 percent.
