While Harris has a slight lead nationally, there’s no clear leader in the seven swing states likely to decide the election.
Topline
The swing state race between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is virtually tied, with new polls out Thursday that show the contest in Georgia is even, while Trump’s narrow leads in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin North Carolina and Arizona are within the margins of error.Key Facts
Georgia: Trump and Harris are tied at 49% in a Marist poll released Thursday (margin of error 3.9), and Trump leads 49.9%-48.4% in a Bloomberg poll out Wednesday (margin of error 3) and 47%-43% in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll of likely voters out Tuesday (margin of error 3.1), while a -Schar poll released Monday (margin of error 4.5) found Harris ahead 51%-47%. Trump leads by 1.5 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polling average.
North Carolina: Trump is up 50%-48% in the Marist poll—within the 3.6-point margin of error—and he’s up 50% to 48% in an Emerson College poll released Thursday (also within the 3.1-point margin of error), while Bloomberg’s poll found him leading 49.6%-48.5% (margin of error 4) and the -Schar survey showed him ahead 50%-47% (margin of error 3.
