The Republican and Democratic candidates are still essentially tied as race enters its final few days.
The 2024 election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris appears closer than ever as the race enters its final week.
Pollsters and forecasters are saying that Trump has the slight edge over the Democratic candidate, but that it could still go either way.
Trump’s national average numbers have improved slightly against Harris since last week, although most prominent aggregators still show the vice president ahead overall. The battle between Harris and Trump in the seven key swing states that could ultimately decide the election remains a toss-up, with the candidates either virtually tied or only marginally ahead in various polls.
Newsweek has contacted both campaign teams for comment via email.
Veteran pollster Nate Silver, who founded FiveThirtyEight and now uses a similar forecasting model for his Silver Bulletin blog, recently wrote in The New York Times that labeling the race a 50-50 toss-up is the « only responsible forecast. » Silver added that his « gut » feeling suggests Trump will win the Electoral College count.
« However, I don’t think you should put any value whatsoever on anyone’s gut—including mine », Silver wrote. « Instead, you should resign yourself to the fact that a 50-50 forecast really does mean 50-50. You should remain open to the possibility that those forecasts are wrong, and that could be the case equally in the direction of Mr.
