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The knee-jerk conclusion you are allowed to reach for Super Bowl LVII is that the Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes, and the Eagles do not.
That Mahomes will be the best player on the field — even with that annoying high ankle sprain — and find a way to win in the fourth quarter, the way he did against the 49ers in Super Bowl LIV.
No one should dispute that the Mahomes-Andy Reid tandem deserves the edge over the Jalen Hurts-Nick Sirianni tandem … not to say that Julian Love could have coached these Eagles.
And yet the Eagles are 1.5-point favorites.
And ever since we knew this matchup, I have been as conflicted as Donna Kelce.
I’m less conflicted today.
Exhaustive film study — well, not exhaustive, a lot of Baldy’s Breakdowns — has convinced me that the Eagles are the better team.
The more complete team.
The more physical team.
One of those edgy Bill Parcells NFC East teams that would gladly play the game in a parking lot.
They are better in the trenches and their quarterback has better weapons.
Jalen Hurts has evolved into a big-game dual threat and a great leader of men who is on a mission.
He and Miles Sanders have arguably the best offensive line in the league blocking for them.
It will give the Eagles a chance to control the clock and keep Mahomes on the sideline.
The Eagles recorded 70 sacks, third-best in league history, and when Mahomes lost to Tom Brady and the Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV, his offensive line betrayed him.