Post NFL expert Dave Blezow makes his predictions for NFL Week 7. Odds, picks, best bets, and more.
Sunday’s Giants-Commanders selection comes down to three words: Enough is enough.
OK, so that’s two words, with one of them repeated. Congrats to those who took the Under on the opening sentence.
Enough is enough is the way I’m choosing to look at this game, because as much as we devour stats and ogle trends and respect (or disrespect) analytics, football is played by people.
There’s a reason why teams can lose by 30 points one week and win the next. There’s a basis behind the notions of trap games and letdown games and sandwich games. There are outright upsets every week and unfathomable results on occasion.
The Giants come into Sunday’s game with a 1-5 record and a four-game losing streak. At home, they are 0-2 by a combined score of 64-3 (40-0 vs. the Cowboys and 24-3 vs. the Seahawks).
Thursday’s Post back page featured a photo of two Giants fans at the Seahawks game, giving the thumbs-down. It was a kinder gesture than Big Blue likely deserved. And Giants players, including Wan’Dale Robinson, a second-year player who seems to get it, told Steve Serby, “They deserve better.”
You can look at the standings and see the Commanders are 3-3. While the Giants’ megabucks quarterback Daniel Jones likely will miss the game with a neck injury, Washington’s Sam Howell is often giving off vibes of an emerging star.
Yet there are some red flags on the visitors’ rap sheet the Giants can exploit. The Commanders:
Have given up 176 points. Not only is that nine more than the Giants have allowed, it ranks tied for third-worst in the NFL.
Lost 37-3 at home to the Bills, a team the Giants came a yard from beating last week in Orchard Park.
Lost 40-20 at home to the then-winless Bears.
Rank last in sacks allowed per game at 5.7 — 0.2 worse than the Giants. Yes, think about Jones getting dropped time and again. The Commanders are even worse at protecting the quarterback.
Maybe you found a reason to pick the Giants within that list. For me it’s about desperation and pride.
Enough is enough.
The pick: Giants +3. Buffalo Bills (-8.5) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Many are looking at the Sunday afternoon forecast for Foxborough and projecting a repeat of the December 2021 meeting in Orchard Park, when the Patriots threw only three times in a 14-10 win over the Bills.
