Maybe it’s a matter of “Consider the source,” but new battleground-state polling from Rasmussen Reports shows President Biden poised to lose the battle of the ballot box.
Maybe it’s a matter of “Consider the source,” but new battleground-state polling from Rasmussen Reports shows President Biden poised to lose the battle of the ballot box if he’s still a candidate in November.
And if Biden goes down, the data show, he will take Capitol Hill Democrats along with him.
Donald Trump’s favorite pollster surveyed 5,605 likely voters in swing states from July 5 to 12 — meaning the survey ended the day before a sniper’s assassination attempt at a Pennsylvania rally last Saturday.
The poll included 1,101 likely voters in Arizona, along with 1,015 in Georgia, 1,025 in Michigan, 761 in Nevada, 1,041 in Pennsylvania and 1,020 in Wisconsin, with 48% of those surveyed having voted for Biden in 2020 and just 47% having backed Trump’s re-election.
And it draws the conclusion that in these bellwether states that will decide the Electoral College, everything is going the way of the Trump-Vance campaign.
It doesn’t matter whether a two-way race is polled or a scenario including marginal candidates — Trump is ahead comfortably either way. In the binary battle, Trump leads Biden 49% to 44%.
And in the scenario with minor candidates, the lead is 6 points — 46% to 40%, with Robert Kennedy Jr. drawing 7% support and no other candidate above 1% in the battlegrounds.
There is some variance among the states.
Trump leads Biden by 8 points in Nevada, suggesting that state may be out of reach, but has more modest leads of 4 points in Pennsylvania and 3 points in Wisconsin — two states that are absolutely critical for Biden to win in November.
