Harris is all but certain to replace President Joe Biden at the top of the Democratic ticket after the majority of delegates have said they’ll support her.
Topline
Former President Donald Trump trails Vice President Kamala Harris by one point in a new survey—though most other polls taken after President Joe Biden dropped his re-election bid show Trump leading by a narrow margin.Key Facts
Morning Consult’s weekly presidential race poll, conducted July 22-24 among 11,297 registered voters, shows Harris leading 46% to Trump’s 45%.
Trump leads Harris by three points, 49% to 46%, in an online CNN/SSRS survey taken July 22-23; by two points, 47% to 45%, in another Morning Consult poll; and by one point, 46% to 45%, in a NPR/PBS/Marist poll.
Harris is up 44% to 42% over Trump in a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Monday and Tuesday, and leads by four points (42%-38%) in a hypothetical matchup with Trump when Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (8%) is on the ballot.
Meanwhile, an Economist/YouGov poll conducted Sunday to Tuesday showed Trump leading Harris 44% to 41% and Kennedy with 5%.
Ipsos and Reuters’ previous poll taken July 15-16 found Harris and Trump tied at 44%, while a July 1-2 poll found Trump led by one point—though it’s unclear how polls taken when Harris was still only a hypothetical candidate will differ from those taken after she became the likely nominee.
The CNN/SSRS survey and Morning Consult polls also found Harris performs better than Biden against Trump—Biden trailed Trump by six points in Morning Consult surveys taken before he exited the race and by six points in CNN/SSRS surveys taken in April and June.
