Most polls indicate a neck-and-neck race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
Topline
Vice President Kamala Harris has cut into former President Donald Trump’s lead since she took over the presidential campaign from Joe Biden, according to most polls—with the latest Morning Consult survey showing Harris leading Trump by four points, a record high for the Democratic presidential candidate in nearly a year.Key Facts
Harris leads Trump 48% to 44% in Morning Consult’s latest poll released Monday, with 5% of registered voters surveyed selecting “someone else” and 4% saying they don’t know—the third week in a row Morning Consult’s weekly poll has shown Trump trailing Harris.
Harris also leads Trump by one point nationally in a CBS News poll released Sunday, in part because younger and Black voters said they’re more likely to vote and women indicated they believe Harris would favor their interests more (margin of error 2.1 points).
The CBS News poll—which was conducted July 30 through Aug. 2—also found Trump and Harris are locked in a tie among voters across the seven top battleground states (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina and Nevada).
Trump leads Harris in at least eight other polls since Biden dropped out of the race, but most show her denting Trump’s lead over Biden and her approval rating ticking up since she announced her candidacy.
Harris leads Trump by two points, 46% to 44%, in a five-way contest with third-party candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Jill Stein and Cornel West on the ballot, according to an Economist/YouGov poll released Wednesday.
She is up one point, 43% to 42%, in a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Tuesday, a slight decline from her two-point lead in the groups’ previous survey conducted July 22-23.
Meanwhile, Trump led Harris by three points in a July 26-28 Harvard CAPS-Harris poll when they were given an option to choose “don’t know/unsure,” a four-point decline in Trump’s seven-point lead over Biden in a June Harvard CAPS-Harris poll; Trump leads Harris by four in a two-way matchup, consistent with his June polling lead over Biden.
