In Pennsylvania, our most recent poll (conducted between September 22nd and 28th, with a sample size of 700 likely voters) shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump tied at 46% to 46% – a statistical
In Pennsylvania, our most recent poll (conducted between September 22nd and 28th, with a sample size of 700 likely voters) shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump tied at 46% to 46% – a statistical tie. The remaining 6% are undecided; 1% would choose another candidate. This poll shows a slight tightening of the race from our last poll (in late July) when we had Harris leading by 4 points (or 47% to 43%). So, what’s changed?
A key reason why Trump is more competitive: He is making serious inroads selling his economic plans to Pennsylvania voters worried about inflation and the economy. For instance, among voters who say inflation and the economy are the top issues that will influence their vote, 57% are voting for Trump, while 34% are voting for Harris. This is significant. In our last poll, Trump was only winning inflation voters by a 50% to 38% margin, so he’s significantly improved with this cohort of the population that highly rates the economy and inflation as a top issue. This is extremely important because inflation and the broader economy are rated as the single most important issues that will influence voters’ choices for president – at 45% from a list of eight we presented to poll respondents. It rates at an even higher 53% among Republican voters. This suggests many voters think Trump would be a better president to rein in inflation and improve economic security for all of us.
Another reason why Trump is more competitive (when compared with our last poll) is that he is winning non-college educated, white working-class voters by a 53% to 39% margin over Harris.
