He plays fast and loose with the rules to deliver Team Oligarchy what they want, but Harris can’t get to 8 true keys, therefore, according to him, she loses.
It’s easy to feel demoralized by the polls lately. For many MAGA folks out there, they felt deep despair after political hack Allan Lichtman used his 13 Keys to predict that Harris, not Trump, will win in November.
But he has it wrong. Perhaps he’s reading the New York Times or watching MSNBC, but for whatever reason, he has miscalculated his own theory. There is no way 8 of his 13 keys are true. It’s not possible.
Here is the chart from Wikipedia:
Let’s go through them and find out which are true and which are false. And of course, some of these are a matter of interpretation. But even still, see if you can get to 8 true for Harris.
Midterm gains: Republicans hold power, even if just barely — FALSE
No Primary contest — TRUE
Incumbent seeking re-election — FALSE.
No Third Party — FALSE. While it’s true that RFK, Jr. has dropped out of the race and thrown his support in with Trump, he is still on the ballot in many states. His popularity alone presents a “third-party challenge” to Team Harris. But there is also Jill Stein and Cornel West.
Strong short-term economy — Leans true. While we’re not officially in a recession, things are not exactly going great. But let’s give them this one.
Strong long-term economy — FALSE. If Trump wins, maybe. No one believes the Democrats can bring the economy back. They had four years. They failed.
Major policy change — We can say the “Inflation Reduction Act” counts. TRUE
No social unrest — FALSE.
