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Donald Trump looks like he might win every swing state and also Kamala Harris is up by six points in the latest ABC News poll and has put Texas and Florida in play.
Wait, wut?
Let’s cover the absurdities first because that’s my beat.
On Monday, ABC News ran the headline, «Harris support rises among some likely voters: POLL», and, if you thought they meant that’s what happened in the latest poll. well, that’s on you, bub.
As previously reported, Kamala Harris leads Donald Trump by a slight 4 percentage points, 50-46%, among all adults and registered voters alike, and by 6 points, 52-46%, among likely voters in the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll. While those numbers are virtually identical, closer assessment shows movement to Harris in some groups when comparing all adults with likely voters — notably, those younger than 40, younger women in particular and Black people.
«As previously reported» is doing an unconscionable amount of work in that sentence. National Review’s Jeff Blaher noted today that ABC did not conduct «a new poll — though they attempt to disguise it as such — but a reanalysis of an old poll. The data comes from a poll «taken between August 23, the night Kamala Harris spoke at the Democratic National Convention, and — through the four days of post-convention media afterglow — August 27.
