The former president has narrowly pulled ahead in aggregator RealClearPolling’s average of national polls.
Republican nominee Donald Trump is narrowly leading Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris in aggregator RealClearPolling’s average of national polls for the first time since August.
As of early Monday, Trump led by a whisker—he was 0.1 point ahead with 48.5 percent, compared to Harris’ 48.4 percent.
Polls measure the popular vote. A candidate can win this, but still lose the election if they fail to secure 270 out of the 538 Electoral College votes, a number based on each state’s delegates in the Senate and House of Representatives. According to FiveThirtyEight’s Electoral College simulations of election outcomes, Trump would win the electoral college 54 times out of 100, while Harris would be victorious 45 times out of 100, as of Monday morning.
Trump’s narrow lead stands in contrast to his position against his then-rival President Joe Biden this time during the 2020 election.
