Polls show Trump and Harris are in a virtual tie for North Carolina’s 16 electoral college votes.
Topline
Vice President Kamala Harris is vying to become only the second Democratic presidential candidate to win North Carolina in more than 40 years, as most polls show her and former President Donald Trump in a close contest—with Trump holding a slight advantage in two new surveys released this week and Harris ahead by one point in a third.Key Facts
Harris is ahead 48%-47% among likely voters in a CNN/SSRS poll out Thursday (margin of error 4.5 points).
Trump has a 49%-47% advantage over Harris among likely voters—and 4% chose another candidate—in a Fox News poll released Wednesday, though his lead shrinks to one point (50%-49%) in a two-way matchup, within the three-point margin of error.
Trump leads likely voters in North Carolina 50%-48% in a Cooperative Election Study poll, a large national survey backed by universities and conducted by YouGov (2,308 respondents).
Trump leads likely voters by the same margins, 50% to 48%, in both a Marist poll and an Emerson poll last week, and is up 49.6%-48.5% in a Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll released Oct. 23, all within the surveys’ margins of error (3.1 points for Emerson, 3.6 for Marist and 4 points for Bloomberg).
Trump is up 50% to 47% in a -Schar School poll released last week, still within the 3.9-point margin of error, while a Quinnipiac poll of likely voters released Oct. 16 found Harris leading 49% to 47%, a reversal of Trump’s 49%-47% lead two weeks ago.
