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David McCormick triumphed over three-term Democratic Sen. Bob Casey in Pennsylvania’s Senate race. The Associated Press called the race for McCormick on Thursday afternoon, yet Casey still hasn’t conceded. The race was undeniably tight and triggered an automatic recount.
Here’s what we know about recounts: they rarely change the outcome of a race, but when they do, they almost always uncover just enough votes to give Democrats the victory.
Some prime examples of this are the 2005 Washington state gubernatorial election and the 2008 Senate race in Minnesota. But those races were decided by mere hundreds of ballots. McCormick’s lead stands at roughly 25,000 votes — way too large for even the shadiest of recounts to realistically flip the outcome.
On top of that, Philadelphia’s votes are all counted, including provisional ballots. There are more provisional ballots to be counted elsewhere but likely not enough for Casey to prevail.
Some of the more recount ballot dumps have favored McCormick.
New ballot dumps. Lehigh County and Northampton County. Key areas for casey to do well in: 3200 provisional and overseas ballots dumped, @DaveMcCormickPA won them by 150 votes.
It’s over@markdharris @tencor_7144 @PAforMcCormick @Matt_Gruda https://t.co/hxWDwTwNqY— Gaius Julius Caesar (@16dalesdeadbug) November 13, 2024
That hasn’t stopped Bob Casey’s team from trying to steal the election.
