The race between Harris and former President Donald Trump is tight in the final days of the 2024 election.
The race for Wisconsin is extremely close as Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump held dueling rallies in the key swing state on Friday.
The Badger State is considered a must-win contest in the 2024 election. The state and its 10 electoral votes were taken by President Joe Biden in 2020, who won the state by just 0.7 percent of the overall vote. In 2016, Trump won there over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, also by 0.7 percent.
According to tracking from 538, Harris leads across Wisconsin polls by 0.8 points (48.2 percent to 47.4 percent) on average. The battleground state, however, is considered a toss-up race, per 538’s election forecast model.
According to pollster Nate Silver, Harris is slightly favored to take the state next week, with Silver’s election forecast giving the vice president a 55.8 percent chance of victory over Trump’s 44.2 percent.
Silver estimates that Wisconsin has a 9 percent chance of tipping the presidential election results. If Harris secures the state on Tuesday, she has a 74.3 percent chance of winning the overall race, per Silver’s model.
