Most polls indicate a tight race between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.
Topline
The race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump remains a seeming dead heat less than four weeks before the election according to a string of surveys this month, with two new polls showing Harris either tied with Trump or holding onto a narrow lead.Key Facts
Trump and Harris are tied at 48% in a new NBC poll of registered voters released Sunday, while ABC and Ipsos show Harris with a two-point (50%-48%) advantage among likely voters, within the poll’s 2.5-point margin of error—a shift after both ABC and NBC showed Harris with a roughly five-point lead last month.
Other polls show the vice president with a larger edge, though the race has tightened in recent weeks: Harris is up four points over Trump, 49% to 45%, in an Economist/YouGov poll of likely voters released Wednesday, after leading him by five points (49% to 46%) in the groups’ Sept. 30 survey.
The vice president leads Trump 46% to 43% in a four-day Reuters/Ipsos poll completed Monday, after leading him by six points in a Sept. 20-23 Reuters/Ipsos poll.
Harris is up 49% to 46% in a New York Times/Siena poll out Tuesday, the first time she’s led Trump in the groups’ polling since July.
Harris leads by five points in Morning Consult’s weekly poll, also released Tuesday, consistent with her standing in last week’s Morning Consult survey.
Harris was ahead in three polls out last week: 50% to 48% in an Emerson poll released Oct. 3, 49% to 44%, in an Oct. 2 Susquehanna poll, and by three points in an Economist/YouGov poll out Oct.
