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China’s Trophy Case of Deals Could Become a Discount Rack

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It is unclear how aggressively Beijing will rein in acquisitions. Still, bargain-hunters will benefit from any selling spree by Chinese companies.
A quartet of embattled Chinese dealmakers may be forced to hold an overseas yard sale.
Officials want Anbang Insurance to sell off its offshore empire, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Dalian Wanda, meanwhile, has reportedly been blocked from refinancing offshore subsidiaries. In contrast, the HNA Group says it remains keen on the ousted White House adviser Anthony Scaramucci’s hedge fund investment firm, SkyBridge Capital.
But pending deals are likely to come under pressure one way or another. Foreign bargain hunters could benefit.
Reuters reported in June that Chinese banking regulators were concerned about high-profile acquirers, including Anbang, Dalian Wanda, HNA and the Fosun Group. That echoes a wider campaign to reduce corporate debt spearheaded by President Xi Jinping.
Thomson Reuters data shows that the four companies have bought more than $44 billion in overseas assets since 2012, through 221 deals. Targets included the cinema chain AMC Entertainment, the Waldorf Astoria hotel and Cirque du Soleil.
Beijing worries that much of this was financed with debt from domestic banks. Officials appear particularly concerned about Anbang, which sold a lot of risky-looking products blending insurance and investment. The company, whose chairman has been detained, says it has no plans to sell assets, nor has it been ordered to do it.
Despite these denials, there is now a cloud over $12 billion worth of pending transactions by Anbang and its three counterparts. Purchases that the government considers ill advised may also be unwound. That may include the SkyBridge deal, which has just lost whatever political side benefits it may once have offered.
It is unclear how aggressive Beijing plans to be. Making Anbang unwind its overseas portfolio in a hurry would necessitate a huge fire sale. Wanda’s offshore properties that rely on cheap Chinese refinancing might also be put on the block.
But so far the campaign seems selective. Even as Anbang and Wanda squirm, HNA is still trying to close deals, including one for Rio de Janeiro’s airport. Fosun also is still active, announcing plans to buy a French margarine maker.
Even so, holding on to trophies that leave executives vulnerable to political attack will make them uncomfortable. Their doors will be open to reasonable offers.

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