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Vettel verzweifelt an seinem Ferrari

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Formel 1: Für Sebastian Vettel endet der Große Preis von Japan mit einer Enttäuschung. Der WM-Titel rückt in weite Ferne.
In den letzten Minuten vor dem Start eines Formel-1-Rennens geht es auf der Start- und Zielgeraden zu wie auf einem mittelalterlichen Marktplatz, auf den sich die Technik der Gegenwart verirrt hat. Zu viele Menschen teilen sich zu wenig Raum. Jeweils mindestens sechs Mechaniker rollen die Rennwagen in die vorgesehenen Parkbuchten, vor ihnen stehen auf hohen Absätzen die sogenannten Grid-Girls mit ihren Nummerntafeln und versuchen nicht umzufallen. Und dazwischen wuseln auch noch Reporter und mehr oder weniger berühmte Menschen, wie am Sonntag der in die fußballerische Diaspora Japans ausgewanderte Lukas Podolski, der zusätzlich noch Kameramänner und Fotografen anzieht wie ein Honigtopf den Jogi-Bär.
In diesen letzten Minuten vor dem Start müssen Rennfahrer versuchen, ein wenig Ruhe zu finden. Niemand war so unruhig vor dem Start des Rennens in Suzuka wie Sebastian Vettel.
Vettel lehnte an der Absperrung zur Boxengasse, eine Assistentin hielt einen Sonnenschirm über seinen Kopf, damit sein Gesicht ein wenig Schatten finden konnte. Aber Sonne oder Schatten waren Vettel ziemlich egal. Er starrte auf seinen Ferrari, an dem die Techniker vor ihm eine Notoperation vollführten. Sie schraubten die Haube ab. Sie begannen am Motor zu hantieren, an den Zündkerzen, das ließ sich nicht verbergen, obwohl sie einen kleinen Sichtschutz bildeten.
Es war der Moment, in dem Sebastian Vettel dämmerte, dass wohl gerade die Weltmeisterschaft entschieden wurde, noch bevor die Ampel auf Grün springen würde, zugunsten von Lewis Hamilton, der einen Start- und Zielsieg feiern durfte. Weil Vettel seinen Ferrari in der vierten Runde mit technischen Problemen würde abstellen müssen.
59 Punkte Vorsprung hat Hamilton nun vier Rennen vor Ende der Saison. Nur noch ein Wunder kann Vettel zurück ins Titelrennen bringen. Doch in der technisierten Welt der Formel 1 gibt es eher selten Wunder. Nach Lage der Dinge hat Vettel diese Weltmeisterschaft auf seiner Asienreise verloren. Mit drei Punkten Rückstand war er nach Singapur gereist, mit 59 reist er aus Japan wieder ab. Nicht nur wegen seines Crashs in der ersten Runde von Singapur. Sondern vor allem, weil die Technik in seinem Ferrari gestreikt hatte: In Malaysia ging er vom letzten Platz ins Rennen, weil vor dem Qualifying ein Kabel zwischen Turbolader und Motor gerissen war. Diesmal leistete sich sein Motor Fehlzündungen im Rennen.
«Auf dem Weg in die Startaufstellung haben wir das Problem schon bemerkt. In der Einführungsrunde und dann auch beim Start war schon nicht die volle Leistung da, sonst wäre ich an Lewis vorbeigekommen», sagte Vettel.
Die Probleme in Japan waren für Ferrari vor allem deshalb ärgerlich, weil der Mercedes von Hamilton in Malaysia noch «irgendwo einen Gremlin» drin hatte, wie Mercedes-Chef Toto Wolff erzählte. Hamilton wurde in Sepang zwar Zweiter hinter Max Verstappen, aber die Silberpfeile waren das ganze Wochenende klar langsamer als die Ferraris und Red Bulls. Am Samstag in Suzuka sah dann wieder alles völlig anders aus: Hamilton deklassierte seinen WM-Konkurrenten im Qualifying, als er am Tag des Gewinns seiner 71. Pole Position fast eine halbe Sekunde schneller rollte und Vettel um 0,472 Sekunden distanzierte. «Wir scheinen aus schlechten Tagen zu lernen. Wir haben die Daten gecheckt, die richtigen Schlüsse daraus gezogen und auf dieser Basis das Setup optimiert», sagte Wolff am Samstagabend und sprach dabei das Offensichtliche aus. Allein: Wo nur war er denn hin, der fiese Gremlin?
Ein Gremlin ist ja so etwas wie ein Fehlerteufel. Bekannt gemacht wurde er vom britischen Schriftsteller Roald Dahl, der im Zweiten Weltkrieg als Kampfpilot für die Royal Air Force im Einsatz war und dort von angeblich koboldbedingten Abstürzen seiner Kollegen erfahren hatte. Berühmt geworden ist Gremlin erst durch eine Verfilmung von Joe Dante 1984: In «Gremlins — kleine Monster» gibt es ein Wesen, das in etwa so sanft und friedlich ist wie Sebastian Vettel, auch weil er der Gattung der plüschigen Mogwais angehört. Genau wie bei Vettels Ferrari wird es erst problematisch, wenn der Mogwai mit Wasser in Berührung kommt. Und vor allem, wenn er nach Mitternacht gefüttert wird (was einem Rennfahrer auch nicht sonderlich gut bekommt). Dann nämlich verwandelt er sich in ein schuppiges und in jeglicher Hinsicht nerviges Wesen mit großen Ohren, das eine Vorliebe dafür hat, Elektronik kurzzuschließen: den Gremlin.

© Source: http://www.sueddeutsche.de/sport/grosser-preis-von-japan-vettel-hat-schon-vor-dem-start-verloren-1.3699117?source=rss
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Watch Jason Aldean's 'SNL' tribute to Las Vegas shooting victims and Tom Petty

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Aldean in Las Vegas last Sunday night when a gunman sprayed bullets into the crowd from a high-rise hotel, killing 58 people and injuring nearly 500.
NEW YORK — Country star Jason Aldean took the stage on «Saturday Night Live,» paying tribute to the victims of the Las Vegas massacre and the late rock superstar Tom Petty.
Aldean performed Petty’s «I Won’t Back Down» during the live opening Saturday night (Oct. 7) and then introduced the show.
«This week we witnessed one of the worst tragedies in American history,» he said. «So many people are hurting. You can be sure that we are going to walk through these tough times together every step of the way.»
Aldean was performing at an outdoor concert in Las Vegas last Sunday night when a gunman sprayed bullets into the crowd from a high-rise hotel, killing 58 people and injuring nearly 500.
Petty died Monday in Los Angeles at age 66 after suffering cardiac arrest.
NEW YORK — Country star Jason Aldean took the stage on «Saturday Night Live,» paying tribute to the victims of the Las Vegas massacre and the late rock superstar Tom Petty.
Aldean performed Petty’s «I Won’t Back Down» during the live opening Saturday night (Oct. 7) and then introduced the show.
«This week we witnessed one of the worst tragedies in American history,» he said. «So many people are hurting. You can be sure that we are going to walk through these tough times together every step of the way.»
Aldean was performing at an outdoor concert in Las Vegas last Sunday night when a gunman sprayed bullets into the crowd from a high-rise hotel, killing 58 people and injuring nearly 500.
Petty died Monday in Los Angeles at age 66 after suffering cardiac arrest.

© Source: http://www.nola.com/tv/index.ssf/2017/10/watch_jason_aldeans_snl_tribut.html
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Bundestag: Merkel und Seehofer wollen Zoff um Obergrenze lösen

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Berlin (dpa) — Zwei Wochen nach der Bundestagswahl suchen die Spitzen von CDU und CSU eine gemeinsame Basis für Jamaika-Verhandlungen mit Grünen und FDP. Dazu
Berlin (dpa) — Zwei Wochen nach der Bundestagswahl suchen die Spitzen von CDU und CSU eine gemeinsame Basis für Jamaika-Verhandlungen mit Grünen und FDP. Dazu treffen Kanzlerin Angela Merkel (CDU) und CSU-Chef Horst Seehofer an diesem Sonntag in Begleitung mehrerer Parteifreunde in Berlin zusammen.
Bei dem Gespräch soll vor allem der Streit über eine Obergrenze für Flüchtlinge beigelegt werden. CSU-Chef Horst Seehofer dringt darüber hinaus auf einen insgesamt konservativeren Kurs der Union.
In einem Zehn-Punkte-Plan fordert Seehofer eine Hinwendung zu klassisch konservativen Themen wie Leitkultur, Heimat und Patriotismus. «Wer jetzt «weiter so» ruft, hat nicht verstanden und riskiert die Mehrheitsfähigkeit von CDU und CSU. Die Union war nie nur ein Kanzlerwahlverein», heißt es in dem Papier, das der Vorsitzende der CSU-Grundsatzkommission, Markus Blume, zu dem Spitzentreffen verfasst hat. Das Konzept liegt der «Bild am Sonntag» und der Deutschen Presse-Agentur in München vor.
Die Menschen in Deutschland wollten eine bürgerlich-konservative Politik, dies sei seit der Bundestagswahl klar, heißt es darin. Der unter Merkel vollzogene Schwenk in die liberale politische Mitte zulasten des konservativen Flügels sei ein Fehler, der korrigiert werden müsse: «Wenn bis auf die CSU alle etablierten Parteien links der Mitte wahrgenommen werden, dann ist das ein Problem.» Die Union dürfte sich niemals damit abfinden, dass sich rechts von ihr eine Partei wie die AfD breitmachen könne. «Wir müssen die AfD knallhart bekämpfen — und um ihre Wähler kämpfen.»
Gegen Ängste durch «grenzenlose Freiheit» setzt die CSU auf Obergrenze und Leitkultur. «Deshalb brauchen wir eine bürgerliche Ordnung der Freiheit: das heißt einen durchsetzungsfähigen Staat, eine klare Begrenzung der Zuwanderung und einen Richtungspfeil für die Integration.» Darüber hinaus müssten ein gesunder Patriotismus und Heimatliebe wieder selbstverständlich werden. Dazu müsse auch der «Geist der Alt-68er» überwunden werden.
Die Union war bei der Wahl am 24. September zwar stärkste Kraft geworden, hatte mit Merkel an der Spitze aber starke Verluste erlitten. Mit 32,9 Prozent der Stimmen fuhr sie ihr schlechtestes Ergebnis überhaupt ein. Nachdem die SPD einer Neuauflage der großen Koalition eine Absage erteilt hat, ist die einzig realistische Perspektive ein Bündnis von Union, FDP und Grünen. Damit tut sich aber vor allem die CSU schwer, die befürchtet, in einer Koalition mit den Grünen zur Aufgabe konservativer Positionen gezwungen zu sein.
Merkel hatte am Samstag auf dem Bundestreffen der Jungen Union in Dresden erstmals offiziell Gespräche über eine Jamaika-Koalition angekündigt — trotz der noch ausstehenden Einigung mit der CSU im Streit über eine Obergrenze. Es werde schwierige Verhandlungen mit FDP und Grünen geben, aber es gehe darum, eine verlässliche Regierung zu bilden, sagte sie. «Ich möchte, dass sie zustande kommt.» Über einen Koalitionsvertrag soll ein Sonderparteitag der CDU entscheiden.
Die Kanzlerin rief die CSU zur Einigung im Streit über die Obergrenze auf. Die Schwesterparteien hätten im Wahlkampf geschafft, mit diesem Dissens zu leben. «Aber jetzt steht eine neue Aufgabe an: gemeinsam den Wählerauftrag umzusetzen.» Sie werde alles daran setzen, eine Lösung zu finden, bei der sich keiner verleugnen müsse. Die CSU will eine starre Grenze von 200 000 Flüchtlingen pro Jahr, die CDU ist dagegen — ebenso wie die potenziellen Koalitionspartner Grüne und FDP.

© Source: http://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/deutschland/id_82416354/bundestag-merkel-und-seehofer-wollen-zoff-um-obergrenze-loesen.html
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In Vegas, Pence praises US resolve to find hope after horror

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Vice President Mike Pence praised the heroic response by police and the resolve of the American people at a prayer service in Las Vegas, while federal agents hauled away belongings left behind…
LAS VEGAS (AP) — Vice President Mike Pence praised the heroic response by police and the resolve of the American people at a prayer service in Las Vegas, while federal agents hauled away belongings left behind by terrified concertgoers trying to escape raining bullets from a gunman who was shooting from his high-rise hotel suite.
«It was a tragedy of unimaginable proportions,» Pence said as he addressed nearly 300 people at Las Vegas City Hall Saturday afternoon. «Those we lost were taken before their time, but their names and their stories will forever be etched into the hearts of the American people.»
At the same time, federal agents started removing piles of backpacks, baby strollers and lawn chairs still strewn about the site of a country music festival that Stephen Paddock fired upon last Sunday night. Investigators remain stumped about why the reclusive 64-year-old high-stakes video poker player would shoot at the crowd from his 32nd-floor Mandalay Bay hotel room, killing 58 and wounding hundreds before killing himself.
Investigators believe a note found on a nightstand in Paddock’s hotel room contained a series of numbers that helped him calculate a more precise aim, accounting for the trajectory of shots being fired from that height and the distance between his room and the concert, a law enforcement official said Saturday. The official wasn’t authorized to discuss the details of the ongoing investigation publicly and spoke to The Associated Press on condition of anonymity.
The unity service came after dozens of people — many wearing shirts that said «Vegas Strong» — marched from Mandalay Bay to City Hall. After speeches from Pence and other politicians, 58 doves were released into the air, flying in a wide arc and then disappearing into the distance as someone shouted, «God bless America!»
Las Vegas Mayor Carolyn Goodman told the audience that the focus needs to remain on the victims, not «that horrific senseless animal.»
Lisa Rhoads-Shook, whose brother-in-law was inside the Mandalay Bay when the shooting broke out, said she wanted to attend the unity service to be part of the conversation about change.
«I’m so sad and it’s not fair, really, for us to experience another avoidable tragedy. We have to acknowledge that there is no better time to talk about gun control,» she said. «I don’t think the Founding Fathers wanted the right to bear arms to become the right to build an arsenal in your home.»
Investigators have chased 1,000 leads and examined Paddock’s politics, finances, any possible radicalization and his social behavior — typical investigative avenues that have helped uncover the motive in past shootings. But Clark County Undersheriff Kevin McMahill said there’s still no clear motive.
What officers have found is that Paddock planned his attack meticulously.
He requested an upper-floor room overlooking the festival, stockpiled 23 guns, a dozen of them modified to fire continuously like an automatic weapon, and set up cameras inside and outside his room to watch for approaching officers.
___
For complete coverage of the Las Vegas shooting, click here: https://apnews.com/tag/LasVegasmassshooting .
Copyright 2017 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

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WHAT'S HAPPENING: Note might have had shooting calculations

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WHAT’S HAPPENING: A law enforcement official says investigators believe a note found in the Vegas gunman’s hotel room contained numbers that helped him calculate precise shots. Doves were released after a prayer service attended by the vice president.
Investigators believe a note found in the Las Vegas gunman’s hotel room contained a series of numbers that helped him calculate more precise shots, a law enforcement official said.
Vice President Mike Pence appeared at a prayer service in Las Vegas on Saturday to mourn the victims of last weekend’s concert shooting and to praise those who risked their lives to save others.
Federal officials also began hauling away thousands of personal items left behind in the concert venue after Stephen Paddock unleashed a fury of gunfire from his Mandalay Bay hotel room, killing 58 people and injuring nearly 500.
More about the deadliest mass shooting in modern U. S. history:
THE INVESTIGATION
A law enforcement official told The Associated Press on Saturday that the numbers found on a note located on a nightstand included the distance between the high-rise hotel room that Paddock was using as a perch and the concert below.
The official wasn’t authorized to discuss the details of the ongoing investigation publicly and spoke on condition of anonymity.
Investigators are still working to determine why Paddock committed the deadliest mass shooting in modern U. S. history.
On Friday, FBI agents announced plans to put up billboards throughout Las Vegas to ask people with credible information to call with tips. The number is 800-CALL-FBI.
FOREVER ETCHED IN HEARTS
Vice President Mike Pence told mourners at a prayer service in Las Vegas that the memory of the victims of last weekend’s shooting massacre will «forever be etched into the hearts of the American people.»
The vice president traveled to Vegas on Saturday to attend a ceremony honoring the 58 victims. He says amid the depths of horror, Americans have found hope in those who risked their lives to help save others after the shooting.
After he spoke, 58 doves were released on the steps of City Hall to commemorate each victim. Someone shouted, «God bless America!» as the doves disappeared into the distance.
‘HE IS MY HERO’
One of the first memorials services for victims of the Las Vegas shooting massacre was held Saturday in Bakersfield, California, for Jack Beaton, who died shielding his wife from gunfire.
His wife, Laurie, recalled that he yelled at her to get on the ground, put his body on top of hers for protection and told her he love her before going limp.
«I knew every day that he would protect me and take care of me and love me unconditionally, and what he did is no surprise to me,» she said. «He is my hero.»
Jack Beaton was remembered as a fun-loving friend, a hard-working roofer by trade, a generous and kind-hearted neighbor, and, above all, a devoted husband and father to two children.
‘OUR PEOPLE, THEY DIDN’T RUN’
Members of a private security firm that manned last weekend’s concert and stayed in the venue to help other people flee are starting to return to work .
«Our people, they didn’t run,» said supervisor Cheryl Metzler.
The Las Vegas branch of Contemporary Services Corporation lifted concertgoers over barriers and hid them behind pillars as gunfire rang out from the 32nd floor of the Mandalay Bay hotel casino. Many are traumatized and mourning the loss of a co-worker, 21-year-old Erick Silva, who was among the 58 people killed. Two other guards were wounded.
Darla Christensen was checking concertgoers’ bags and boots for alcohol and contraband and inspecting wristbands when gunfire erupted. She grabbed other guards and patrons and pushed them toward a side gate.
On Friday, she put on her uniform to work a UFC weigh-in, her first event since the shooting. «Even just going, even just getting dressed, was hard,» she said. «It was really tough.»
___
Associated Press writer Michael Balsamo contributed to this report from Las Vegas.
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Abe says Japan fully behind US on pressuring North Korea

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Abe says Japan fully behind US on pressuring North Korea
Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe says his government supports the U. S. stance on pressuring North Korea over its nuclear weapons program, with all options on the table.
In a televised debate Sunday among leaders of major political parties, Abe said North Korea had failed to deliver on past promises and instead used the time to further develop its technology.
Abe said: «We cannot afford being deceived by them again.»
He did not specifically comment on a tweet about North Korea by U. S. President Donald Trump saying that after 25 years of negotiations «only one thing will work.»
Abe said his government supports the U. S. stance that all options are on the table.
Concerns over North Korea are a top issue in a parliamentary election scheduled for Oct. 22.

© Source: http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/abe-japan-fully-us-pressuring-north-korea-50351495
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Jason Aldean pays tribute to Vegas victims, Petty on 'SNL'

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Jason Aldean pays tribute to Vegas victims, Petty on ‘SNL’
Country star Jason Aldean took the stage on » Saturday Night Live,» paying tribute to the victims of the Las Vegas massacre and the late rock superstar Tom Petty.
Aldean performed Petty’s «I Won’t Back Down» during the live opening Saturday night and then introduced the show.
«This week we witnessed one of the worst tragedies in American history,» he said. «So many people are hurting. You can be sure that we are going to walk through these tough times together every step of the way.»
Aldean was performing at an outdoor concert in Las Vegas last Sunday night when a gunman sprayed bullets into the crowd from a high-rise hotel, killing 58 people and injuring nearly 500.
Petty died Monday in Los Angeles at age 66 after suffering cardiac arrest.

© Source: http://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/wireStory/snl-pays-tribute-vegas-victims-petty-opening-50350154
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Don’t forget about the rights of North Koreans

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I agree with former president Jimmy Carter that North Korean leaders are dedicated to preserving their regime, as he wrote in his Oct. 5 op-ed, “Time to talk to North Korea,” but I disagree that th…
I agree with former president Jimmy Carter that North Korean leaders are dedicated to preserving their regime, as he wrote in his Oct. 5 op-ed, “ Time to talk to North Korea,” but I disagree that the United States should be dedicated to the preservation of that regime.
Despite being known as the human rights president, Mr. Carter omitted how the fundamental rights of the battered and bruised North Korean people should be addressed if talks were held. Assuming that North Koreans are loyal to their leader is questionable, considering the more than 100,000 people in political prison camps, the extreme efforts of Pyongyang to bar its people from accessing outside information and the restrictions placed on leaving the country. A 2005 government directive described “confused elements at home” as “more dangerous than the enemy outside.”
If there is to be a peaceful outcome to the present nuclear stalemate, the nature of the North Korean regime must also be taken into account.
Roberta Cohen, Washington
The writer, a deputy assistant secretary of state for human rights in the Carter administration, is co-chair emeritus of the Committee for Human Rights in North Korea.

© Source: https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/dont-forget-about-the-rights-of-north-koreans/2017/10/08/fe26a332-aa0d-11e7-9a98-07140d2eed02_story.html
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Nate makes 2nd landfall outside Biloxi, Mississippi

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NEW ORLEANS (AP) — Hurricane Nate came ashore along Mississippi’s coast outside Biloxi early Sunday, the first hurricane to make landfall in the state since Hurricane Katrina in 2005. The storm had maximum sustained winds…
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Bluster or legit threat? Trump remarks show North Korea military option on U. S. leader’s mind

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Bluster or legitimate threat, U. S. President Donald Trump’s latest castigation of North Korea has again left observers wondering if the leader will greenli
Bluster or legitimate threat, U. S. President Donald Trump’s latest castigation of North Korea has again left observers wondering if the leader will greenlight some kind of military action against the country in a bid to halt its seemingly inexorable march toward a credible nuclear strike capability.
Trump on Saturday issued his latest veiled threat to Pyongyang in a series of tweets deriding past U. S. leaders’ attempts to solve the intractable North Korean nuclear issue, saying that “only one thing” could bring the crisis to a close — an apparent allusion to military action.
“Presidents and their administrations have been talking to North Korea for 25 years, agreements made and massive amounts of money paid,” Trump tweeted. “Hasn’t worked, agreements violated before the ink was dry, makings fools of U. S. negotiators. Sorry, but only one thing will work!”
Asked by reporters to clarify his comments later Saturday while en route to a fundraiser, Trump said only: “You’ll figure that out pretty soon.”
The mercurial U. S. president’s remarks came two days after he cryptically said during a dinner with top American military brass that the meeting was “the calm before the storm.” He also refused to clarify that comment, saying only that “you’ll find out,” when asked what he meant. On Saturday, asked again about the storm remarks, Trump said there was “nothing to clarify.”
Trump has variously threatened to rain “fire and fury” on North Korea and to “totally destroy” the country of 25 million people if the United States is forced to defend itself or its allies, including Japan.
He has repeatedly said that all options — including military action — remain on the table for reining in its nuclear weapons ambitions. The U. S. president has also appeared to advocate regime change, saying that Kim and North Korean Foreign Minister Ri Yong Ho, “won’t be around much longer” after Ri hinted at a possible nuclear weapons test over the Pacific Ocean.
Trump’s hard-line rhetoric and scornful disdain of dialogue with the North suggest that military action is likely on the president’s mind.
“The U. S. is confronting a ‘devils alternative’ — either accept North Korean nuclear weapons status, and watch the regional nonproliferation norms fall apart, and North Korea be more emboldened behind a nuclear shield — or risk a military confrontation,” Malcolm Davis, a senior defense analyst at the Australian Strategic Policy Institute, said after Trump’s recent remarks.
“I don’t see the U. S. accepting North Korean nuclear weapons status, or accommodating Pyongyang,” Davis said. “I see war on the horizon — it’s a question of when and what context, and how does it start, and how does it end.”
Last week, Trump poured cold water on a suggestion that negotiations with the isolated country would be anything other than a distraction, saying that U. S. Secretary of State Rex Tillerson was “wasting his time trying to negotiate with Little Rocket Man,” a mocking reference to North Korean leader Kim Jong Un.
The North conducted its sixth and largest nuclear test, purportedly of a hydrogen bomb, on Sept. 3, and has launched dozens of missiles this year — including two over Japan — as it moves closer to mastering the technology needed to reliably target the United States with a nuclear-tipped, long-range missile.
In July, it conducted two tests of an intercontinental ballistic missile that experts say is capable of striking a large chunk of the U. S.
A Russian lawmaker who visited the North last week was quoted Friday as saying that the country was preparing to test a long-range missile that it believes can reach the U. S. West Coast.
Pyongyang maintains that its nuclear and missile programs are crucial to the Kim regime’s survival and has ruled out denuclearization, a key condition for the U. S. in any talks with the North, calling its atomic arsenal a “war deterrent.”
Kim has vowed to continue his country’s policy of simultaneously developing the economy and nuclear weapons.
According to a report by the state-run Korean Central News Agency on Sunday, the Kim pledged to ramp up his country’s nuclear drive a day earlier, during a plenary meeting of the Central Committee of the Workers’ Party of Korea, held for the first time since May last year.
He said the current situation has proved that the party was “absolutely right” to uphold the simultaneous development policy and that it should “invariably keep to this road in the future.”
While the Pentagon and key members of the Trump administration have worked to assuage fears by Asian allies nervous over both the breakneck speed of the North’s nuclear weapons advances and Trump’s bellicose words, they have also remained firm that military options are always available.
Any military moves would likely exist “along a spectrum of ‘flexible’ options — from striking North Korean missiles in the terminal phase of trajectory… or pre-emptive strikes while the missile is sitting on the launchpad or is in its early boost phase,” said Andrew O’Neil, an expert on North Korea and a professor at Griffith University in Australia.
“The U. S. would have very high confidence of success in the launchpad or boost-phase scenario because this is where missiles are most vulnerable to being taken out,” he said.
Washington, Tokyo or Seoul could also elect to try and intercept North Korean missiles, though failure would “punch a major hole in public confidence” of missile defense capabilities, O’Neil said.
But authorizing military action against North Korea raises the risk of escalation and miscalculation, including the potential use by the Kim regime of nuclear weapons against Japan, South Korea and possibly even the continental United States, with Kim viewing such a move as an attempt to wipe out his regime.
One estimate by the North Korea-watching 38 North website said that up to 2.1 million people in Tokyo and Seoul would die and another 7.7 million would be injured if Pyongyang attacked the two Asian capitals with nuclear weapons in response to U. S.-led military action.
The report, released Wednesday, was based on the North’s current estimated weapons technology and bomb strength and took into account the operational reliability of its missile launches as well as missile-defense systems in Japan and South Korea.
The estimate assumed that North Korea has 25 operational nuclear weapons with explosive yields of between 15 and 25 kilotons, and that it launches its entire arsenal at Tokyo and Seoul when attacked by the U. S.
According to the report, casualty figures would jump significantly if the North were to strike with weapons similar to the bomb it tested on Sept. 3, which the Japanese government said had an explosive yield of 160 kilotons — more than 10 times that of the atomic bomb dropped on Hiroshima in August 1945.
There is also the chance that the war of words by Trump, a former reality TV star, could be mere theatrics. However, this, too, runs the risk of endangering the U. S. and its allies by creating a situation “where at some point he will need to act decisively in order to maintain U. S. credibility,” making “it harder for the president to back away from military options,” said O’Neil.
Looming behind Trump’s heated rhetoric is also his record of skepticism toward U. S. alliances and his “America First” doctrine, which has created a combustible mix of confusion and apprehension in Tokyo and Seoul.
In August, Sen. Lindsey Graham said in an interview that Trump had told him that war between the U. S. and North Korea was imminent if Pyongyang continued to aim its long-range missiles at America. Graham, too, pushed the military option, saying that Trump had told him that while a conflict would kill scores, it would be “over there” in Northeast Asia.
“Trump may be getting advice that this is a feasible option for pushing Kim back into his box and demonstrating U. S. resolve internationally,” said O’Neil. “How Kim reacts is anyone’s guess, and once any shooting starts, no matter how contained, all bets will be off.”

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